Bulls @ Bucks: Demar Derozan

Going for another bet on Bulls sole-star for tonights game! Insane value tbh..

Bulls @ Bucks: Demar Derozan

Going for another bet on Bulls sole-star for tonights game! Insane value tbh..

Demar Derozan U0.5 3s - 2.70 - 3/4 B365/SBTech

Not a big fan on 0.5-lines in general, but this is just insane. Zach Lavine is out so Demar can shoot as much as he wants. That however doesnt force Demar to shoot 3s. This might lose in the first quarter, but the stats behind it is insane.

Demar has only scored 1 (!!!) threepointer in 14 games without Zach Lavine this season. In 6 of those 14 games he didnt even attempt a single 3. Averaging 1.2 attempts per game without Lavine, which is lower than his general 1.9 attempts per game.

If we look away from Lavine being out, Demar has played 38+ minutes in 22 games this season. Hes been u0.5 in 16 of these 22. Thats 72.7%.

Could argue that there's value for a maxbet, but facing an elim game he might just force some stuff + he attempted 5 threes last game (missed all). I set my valuation at 1.90 for both O/U.