Mr Buckets absolutely dominated last game, and there's really not any reason he wont do that again tonight.
Jimmy Butler O23.5 Points - 1.86 - 1.25/4 SBTech/B365
Coming off a monster 45-point performance in that last game, there's absolutely no reason he shouldn't stay aggressive. The Hawks matchup fairly poor vs him. Only DeAndre Hunter has the length/strength, but even he is outmatched.
Through the first 2 games he's scored 21 and 45 points. He scored 21 points in game 1 which was a blowout (he only played 33 minutes and shot 3/7 on free throws). Expecting 38+ minutes and 15+ FGA's in a close game.
Keeping it a low stake since data is all over the place for Butler this season. This is more of a bet on the situation over the data. Miami also doesn't have lots of high minute games this season, because they have been so dominant.