Jazz @ Mavericks: Donovan Mitchell

This playoffs most inefficient player? Yeah, but he's still won this bet in 3/4 games this series so far.

Jazz @ Mavericks: Donovan Mitchell

This playoffs most inefficient player? Yeah, but he's still won this bet in 3/4 games this series so far.

Donovan Mitchell O27.5 Points - 1.83 - 2.5/4 B365/SBTech

Donovan Mitchell has been shooting/finishing horribly so far this series, but that is not necessarily a bad sign for this bet. Regression is a real thing, both negative and positive. Mitchell is poised for some positive regression on his shooting eventually. I love spots like this.

In the first 4 games: 32, 34, 32, 23. He's shooting 39.1% on all attempts, and 23.5% on 3s. That is very inefficient. He went 7 for 21 in the 23-point game (last game).

In games where Mitchell has shot 18+ times and played 36+ minutes: Covered 15 out of 23 times. Averages 29.4 points per game in those 23 games as well.

I think 29.5 is the correct line for this bet. This opened 28.5 but dropped to 27.5 just now. Very strange.