In a must-win game for both teams, I'm looking in the direction of young guard, Dejounte Murray. Dejounte has been dealing with some illness, but should see close to 40 minutes tonight, after playing 32 minutes in their last game of the regular season.
Dejounte Murray O9.5 Assists & O9.5 Rebounds - 7.00 - 1.5/4 B365
Has to be taken with milestones via Betbuilder - Im going with a high variance option for this one - Rebounds/Assists sitting @ 17.5.
In games where Murray has seen 37+ minutes he's covered this bet in 9/21 games (insane). Pelicans aren't the best matchup in terms of rebounds, but assists should be quite a bit easier. Pelicans have allowed 3rd most assists to pg's over the last 15 games, and allowed 13th most rebounds in that time period as well.
I think the odds on this one should be around 4.50, so we are getting nice value in a must-win game. If he gets the minutes I expect, we are gonna be sitting with a really good bet.